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Iranian Revolution in 2022/2026?

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Iran's ever present foreign minister said on the 17th of this month "In line with the ceasefire in Lebanon, the passage for all commercial vessels through Strait of Hormuz is declared completely open for the remaining period of ceasefire, on the coordinated route as already announced by Ports and Maritime Organisation of the Islamic Rep. of Iran," and was he not aware then that Trump wanted to keep blocking ships? Who knows.

https://www.bbc.com/news/live/cly90l3ln30t?post=asset:7d2e014c-c6b1-4639-a8bd-21679ccab1ae#post says time is not on Iran's side.
It cannot possibly be on Trump's either. I can't cheer for a side here and feel sorry for the Iranian populace. Still no internet for it either because the regime is about control and survival (and using religion as a weapon but what else is new in the world)
 
Trump is fighting a war of choice for political gain. Iran is fighting for its very survival. It's Trump's war so it is his choice. He can either go full genocidal mode and end a "civilization", or he can back off and accept whatever deal Iran is willing to offer. Trump has ZERO idea how to charm or bully fundamentalist Muslim hardliners. The Iranians are just toying with those 3 stooges, Vance, Witkoff and Kushner. Trump simply puts a positive spin on any of his Iran negotiation disasters simply to get the easily duped supporter and stock market to bite.

Trump's Admin. will continue to attempt to spin concessions to Iran as "brilliant negotiating breakthroughs" Trump knows he must get Iran to open the Strait. For his and GOP Congress political survival. But Iran knows this too. And can play Trump like a fiddle.

Before Trump tore up the Iran nuclear deproliferation agreement the uranium in Iran was costing us all $0. Now each one of us is going to have to pony up over $60 to purchase all of the uranium that we previously had to spend nothing on. 20 billion dollars is $60 out of each person's pocket. Republicans just love spending other people's money, while accusing the other side of doing that exact thing.

Strategy? What strategy? Did Donnie think he could equate a war with a deal? Trump is dealing from a position of weakness now. All things considered we were in a stronger position before Operation Epic Failure.

"Magical/Wishful Thinking" is considered one of the immediate symptoms of delusional mental illness.
And now we have a US president, governing by the force of wishful thinking. Seems things couldn't possibly get any better.🙄
 
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The Strait of Schrödinger-- the paradoxical situation where the strait is simultaneously described as "totally safe" and "violently blockaded," depending on Tweets, political statements and media narratives.

Trump's "strategy" is just making a bunch of claims and hoping that they come to fruition.

I can't believe we elected a guy who doesn't know what day it is.

4e6kws7l.png
 
you2 said:
Please correct me if i am mistaken:

Trump declares the strait open
Iran sez ok
Trump declares usa blockade still exist
Iran sez strait closed
Trump complains that Iran is getting cute.
Click to expand...

Feb 28: "We are beginning a decisive operation." "This will be quick."
Mar 2: "We will easily prevail."
Mar 3: "We won the war."
Mar 7: "We defeated Iran."
Mar 9: "We must attack Iran." "The war is ending almost completely, and very beautifully."
Mar 12: "We did win, but we haven't won completely yet."
Mar 13: "I don't like to say this, but we've won the war, this war has been won.!"
Mar 14: "Please help us."
Mar 15: "If you don't help us, I will certainly remember it."
Mar 16: "Actually, we don't need any help at all." "I was just testing to see who's listening to me." "If NATO doesn't help, they will suffer something very bad."
Mar 17: "We neither need nor want NATO's help." "I don't need Congressional approval to withdraw from NATO."
Mar 18: "Our allies must cooperate in reopening the Strait of Hormuz.'
Mar 19: "US allies need to get a grip - step up and help open the Strait of Hormuz"
Mar 20: "NATO are cowards." "We may start winding this down."
Mar 21: "We don't use it, we don't need to open it."
Mar 22: "This is the last time. I will give Iran 48 hours." "Iran is Dead"
Mar 23: "We are giving them more time."
Mar 24: "The war is nearing its end."
Mar 25: "We are still negotiating."
Mar 26: "Iran is begging for peace." "They gave us a gift."
Mar 27: "We could end this very quickly." "Me and the Ayatollah will together run the Strait of Hormuz"
Mar 28: "We are very close to a deal. Nothing is agreed yet. We'll see what happens."
Mar 29: "Iran has undergone Regime change!" "They're all dead, other than one who may have a little life left in him."
Mar 30: "We will blowup and obliterate oil & electric plants in Iran & occupy Kharg island."
Mar 31: "Willing to end the war without reopening Hormuz." "Allies should go get their own oil-we're not there for them anymore."
Apr 1: "NATO is a paper tiger, leaving it is beyond reconsideration."
Apr 2: "We will halt weapons supplies to Ukraine unless NATO join us to secure the Strait of Hormuz."
Apr 5: "Open the fucking strait you crazy bastards"
Apr 6: "Ten days is up actually today. So I gave them eleven, I guess, indirectly."
Apr 7: 'A whole civilization will die tonight' Also ''I hold off the destructive force being sent tonight to Iran''
Apr 7: "Total and complete victory. 100 percent. No question about it,"
Apr 11: “The United States has completely destroyed Iran’s Military, including their entire Navy and Air Force, and everything else. Their Leadership is DEAD!"
Apr 14: “I think it’s close to over, yeah,”
Apr 17: "Iran 'agreed to everything' "
Apr 17: “We have now secured the Strait of Hormuz. It is ours.”
Apr 18: "Strait of Hormuz is "permanently" open and "fully open and ready for full passage"
April 19 - Iran closes strait 🙄
 
Witkoff and Kushner are supposed to go to Islamabad and negotiate this week. Attacking with a pending round of talks would be pretty stupid but certainly in these guys wheelhouse.

I'm starting to suspect both the American regime and Iranian regime are so internally at war with themselves over conflicting schemes a solution might be more elusive than I previously thought.
 
K1052 said:
Witkoff and Kushner are supposed to go to Islamabad and negotiate this week. Attacking with a pending round of talks would be pretty stupid but certainly in these guys wheelhouse.

I'm starting to suspect both the American regime and Iranian regime are so internally at war with themselves over conflicting schemes a solution might be more elusive than I previously thought.
Click to expand...
Vance is also suppose to be there but having said that the prediction i made (though not here) is no agreement because BOTH sides will keep sliding the goal post.
 
The odds of War Crimes Wednesday by Trump is now up a lot - good chance of plenty of war crimesing bombs, and then a ground invasion - at the rate they are going.

War Crimes Wednesday by Netanyahu, well that has practically been every Wednesday of his career.
 
Alright this war is back on, as expected. Market manipulation Monday is still coming up, and so is TACO Tuesday, but I do see a war crimes Wednesday more likely than ever before, and not just on a Wed!
 
Waiting until Trump screws up with a Chinese ship and that breaks any chance between US and China to have a meeting sparking another Trade Wars.
 
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